exiftool itself has no ShutterCount definition for this body yet, so there's no public ground truth to validate an offset against.

Canon, Nikon, Sony and Fujifilm publish a rated shutter durability for most bodies — for the A9 III (ILCE-9M3), that figure is approximately 500,000 actuations. This is a statistical durability rating from the manufacturer, not a hard limit — many shutters keep working well past it, and some fail earlier.